Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -265 CSU +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -2.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -2.5 (-12.5) | 139.6 (-9.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -1.6 (-11.6) | 141.3 (-11.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -2.9 (-12.9) | 141.4 (-11.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -2.2 (-12.2) | 140.5 (-10.5) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#104) | 6.8 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#99) | 1.15 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#101) | 1.84 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#114) | 0.560 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 42.7% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 61.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.