Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -198 MORE +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +1 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -6.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -4.9 (-5.9) | 133.6 (+11.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -4.5 (-5.5) | 133.7 (+11.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -4.4 (-5.4) | 131.0 (+14.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -4.5 (-5.5) | 132.2 (+12.8) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | MORE 67 – 65 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SIUE 80 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIUE 65 – 54 MORE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORE 78 – 63 SIUE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MORE 79 – 68 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#260) | -9.0 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#250) | -1.88 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#263) | -2.56 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#328) | 0.431 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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