Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -500 SIUE +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -8.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -8.3 (+6.7) | 134.9 (+6.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -9.3 (+5.7) | 134.8 (+6.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -10.1 (+4.9) | 136.2 (+4.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -9.7 (+5.3) | 136.9 (+4.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | MORE 67 – 65 SIUE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MORE 73 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SIUE 80 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIUE 65 – 54 MORE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MORE 79 – 68 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#133) | -6.1 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#121) | -1.01 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#124) | -1.37 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#85) | 0.472 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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