Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -600 SIUE +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -12.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -10.2 (+0.8) | 132.5 (+14.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -10.5 (+0.5) | 132.7 (+14.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -11.5 (-0.5) | 132.5 (+14.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -10.6 (+0.4) | 132.9 (+14.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | MORE 67 – 65 SIUE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MORE 73 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SIUE 80 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIUE 65 – 54 MORE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORE 78 – 63 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#115) | -5.2 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#94) | -0.75 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#103) | -0.99 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#80) | 0.462 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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