Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -125 SIUE +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -0.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -0.2 (+2.2) | 133.7 (-1.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -0.1 (+1.9) | 133.1 (-1.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -0.2 (+1.8) | 132.2 (-0.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -0.1 (+2.1) | 133.0 (-1.0) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | MORE 73 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SIUE 80 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIUE 65 – 54 MORE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORE 78 – 63 SIUE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MORE 79 – 68 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#297) | -6.3 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#245) | -0.94 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#278) | -1.31 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#229) | 0.436 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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