Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -140 MORE +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +11 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -5.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -3.6 (+7.4) | 133.9 (-14.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -2.0 (+9.0) | 133.9 (-14.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -3.2 (+7.8) | 132.8 (-13.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -3.4 (+7.6) | 132.7 (-13.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | MORE 67 – 65 SIUE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MORE 73 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SIUE 80 – 62 MORE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORE 78 – 63 SIUE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MORE 79 – 68 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#238) | -6.6 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#233) | -0.09 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#247) | -0.77 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#237) | 0.506 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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