Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | MORE +110 SIUE -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +18 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -3.2 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -3.3 (-14.7) | 133.7 (+8.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -1.8 (-16.2) | 134.1 (+7.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -4.4 (-13.6) | 132.8 (+9.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -3.2 (-14.8) | 133.9 (+8.1) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | MORE 67 – 65 SIUE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MORE 73 – 72 SIUE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIUE 65 – 54 MORE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORE 78 – 63 SIUE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MORE 79 – 68 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#323) | -3.6 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#261) | -0.53 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#304) | -0.86 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#228) | 0.485 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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