Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | ODU +105 GASO -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +7 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -2.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -0.6 (-7.6) | 157.5 (+21.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -0.4 (-7.4) | 152.9 (+26.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -0.1 (-7.1) | 153.1 (+25.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -0.8 (-7.8) | 156.9 (+22.1) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | GASO 88 – 84 ODU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | GASO 87 – 84 ODU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GASO 78 – 75 ODU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | GASO 67 – 63 ODU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GASO 92 – 75 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-14 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#249) | -3.7 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#308) | -0.13 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#297) | -0.91 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#274) | 0.481 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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