Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -140 GASO +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -1.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -1.2 (-5.2) | 145.6 (-15.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -1.4 (-5.4) | 146.3 (-16.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -0.9 (-4.9) | 144.4 (-14.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -0.9 (-4.9) | 144.6 (-14.6) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | GASO 88 – 84 ODU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | GASO 87 – 84 ODU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GASO 93 – 86 ODU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GASO 78 – 75 ODU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GASO 92 – 75 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-9 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#327) | -8.3 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#279) | -0.54 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#262) | -1.19 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#269) | 0.475 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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