Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -175 ODU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +17 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -2.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -1.5 (+15.5) | 149.4 (+17.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -1.8 (+15.2) | 148.8 (+18.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -1.5 (+15.5) | 150.2 (+16.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -1.1 (+15.9) | 152.0 (+15.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | GASO 88 – 84 ODU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | GASO 87 – 84 ODU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GASO 93 – 86 ODU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GASO 78 – 75 ODU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | GASO 67 – 63 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 2-14 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#298) | -6.4 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#317) | -1.76 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#304) | -1.73 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#335) | 0.415 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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