Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -142 ODU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +4 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -1.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -0.9 (+4.9) | 158.7 (+13.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -0.1 (+4.1) | 157.0 (+15.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -0.6 (+4.6) | 155.2 (+16.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -0.8 (+4.8) | 156.0 (+16.0) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | GASO 87 – 84 ODU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GASO 93 – 86 ODU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GASO 78 – 75 ODU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | GASO 67 – 63 ODU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GASO 92 – 75 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#266) | -5.1 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#234) | -0.93 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#246) | -1.19 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#262) | 0.476 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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