Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -265 ODU +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +3 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -4.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -3.3 (-0.3) | 156.8 (+14.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -3.6 (-0.6) | 155.1 (+15.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -3.4 (-0.4) | 151.5 (+19.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -3.8 (-0.8) | 153.7 (+17.3) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | GASO 88 – 84 ODU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GASO 93 – 86 ODU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GASO 78 – 75 ODU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | GASO 67 – 63 ODU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GASO 92 – 75 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#239) | -5.5 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#192) | -1.48 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#227) | -1.87 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#213) | 0.456 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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