Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -9000 SEA +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -26.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -21.9 (-13.9) | 145.6 (+6.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -19.2 (-11.2) | 143.4 (+8.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -22.1 (-14.1) | 144.1 (+7.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -22.5 (-14.5) | 148.7 (+3.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | GONZ 71 – 50 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-0 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 26.3 (#2) | 3.8 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.60 (#7) | 1.16 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.65 (#9) | 1.56 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#20) | 0.528 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 43.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.96 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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