Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SEA +425 GONZ -575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +21 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -18.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -14.1 (-6.9) | 151.1 (-30.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -13.2 (-7.8) | 145.0 (-24.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -11.9 (-9.1) | 146.0 (-25.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -12.3 (-8.7) | 150.2 (-29.2) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | GONZ 80 – 72 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 16-2 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-0 |
| Away | 5-8 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 84.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#120) | 25.3 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#103) | 4.21 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#108) | 5.41 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#120) | 0.630 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 52.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 42.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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