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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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91–37 on winners spread MAE 8.1 128 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Dayton @ VCU +9.7 147.1 84% 73–99 ✓
Brown @ Yale +17.4 141.5 89% 69–81 ✓
UConn @ St. John's +2.2 140.1 69% 72–81 ✓
Evansville @ Valparaiso +9.1 135.0 85% 63–70 ✓
Murray State @ Southern Illinois -0.4 153.8 48% 91–81 ✓
Drake @ Illinois State +8.6 142.0 83% 76–86 ✓
Bradley @ Northern Iowa +4.2 132.9 64% 49–61 ✓
Belmont @ UIC -1.1 145.5 48% 68–62 ✓
Nebraska @ Rutgers -12.3 143.7 17% 80–68 ✓
Syracuse @ Virginia +11.8 149.3 87% 59–72 ✓
Arkansas @ Mississippi State -5.3 158.8 37% 88–68 ✓
Louisville @ Wake Forest -6.3 159.6 26% 88–80 ✓
Temple @ East Carolina -2.2 140.7 40% 81–73 ✓
Lafayette @ Army +1.3 142.6 51% 63–60 ✗
Wisconsin @ Indiana +4.9 156.8 60% 77–78 ✓
Villanova @ Georgetown -4.4 140.2 36% 80–73 ✓
Virginia Tech @ NC State +9.1 158.0 82% 73–82 ✓
Drexel @ Elon +4.0 137.8 70% 82–77 ✗
Oregon @ Purdue +15.7 140.2 89% 64–68 ✓
Massachusetts @ Coastal Carolina -1.8 146.0 45% 91–94 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ App State +5.2 130.4 68% 60–65 ✓
Chicago State @ New Haven +5.7 127.2 66% 63–57 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Boston University +4.0 146.7 65% 69–78 ✓
Wagner @ Central Connecticut +6.1 136.5 74% 67–84 ✓
Saint Francis @ Le Moyne +8.3 148.3 83% 84–86 ✓
East Tennessee State @ VMI -12.9 142.9 16% 87–70 ✓
Missouri @ South Carolina -0.6 147.9 38% 78–59 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Delaware -4.3 135.9 30% 88–89 ✗
New Hampshire @ Vermont +8.4 138.8 82% 57–80 ✓
Baylor @ Iowa State +13.3 152.1 88% 69–72 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Georgia State +4.6 137.2 71% 75–74 ✗
Richmond @ Rhode Island +5.5 140.1 74% 77–82 ✓
George Washington @ Duquesne -0.2 155.0 48% 86–88 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Fordham -0.2 131.3 49% 70–67 ✓
North Texas @ UTSA -11.8 136.9 16% 81–58 ✓
Kansas State @ TCU +7.4 154.3 79% 82–84 ✓
Lehigh @ Holy Cross +1.1 141.5 52% 67–76 ✓
Longwood @ Winthrop +10.2 150.0 86% 74–79 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Presbyterian +12.8 140.8 88% 62–68 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina Upstate -0.2 153.2 49% 94–100 ✗
Butler @ Marquette -0.7 158.2 59% 55–70 ✗
SMU @ Pittsburgh -5.1 143.3 39% 86–67 ✓
Miami @ Boston College -7.6 138.8 25% 74–68 ✓
Cornell @ Columbia +2.5 161.5 66% 88–67 ✗
Denver @ North Dakota +1.8 153.5 66% 98–79 ✗
Omaha @ North Dakota State +9.7 145.4 84% 84–92 ✓
Cleveland State @ IU Indianapolis +0.9 164.7 56% 74–82 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Green Bay +3.8 150.3 72% 63–76 ✓
Siena @ Saint Peter's -0.1 133.3 47% 65–70 ✗
Niagara @ Quinnipiac +11.0 136.1 86% 55–56 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Manhattan -0.1 155.9 51% 68–80 ✗
Princeton @ Pennsylvania +3.9 140.1 68% 60–61 ✓
Campbell @ North Carolina A&T -0.9 150.5 57% 79–71 ✓
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +9.4 139.7 81% 78–71 ✗
Ole Miss @ Texas +10.2 145.0 82% 68–79 ✓
Jacksonville @ West Georgia -0.4 141.2 46% 73–87 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Bellarmine -0.8 153.4 42% 65–81 ✗
Missouri State @ Liberty +12.0 141.4 85% 76–79 ✓
Utah @ Kansas +15.4 151.5 90% 59–71 ✓
William & Mary @ Hampton -2.9 148.4 36% 74–77 ✗
La Salle @ Saint Louis +20.7 146.6 90% 58–82 ✓
Western Michigan @ Texas State +4.4 143.0 68% 61–77 ✓
Kent State @ Southern Miss -4.9 149.3 34% 65–66 ✗
Ball State @ UL Monroe -3.0 138.9 32% 73–68 ✓
Bowling Green @ Arkansas State +2.8 147.4 67% 54–91 ✓
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +4.0 154.8 72% 70–80 ✓
Sam Houston @ Louisiana Tech -6.1 139.1 24% 78–87 ✗
Oklahoma @ Vanderbilt +13.3 157.6 87% 92–91 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Fairleigh Dickinson +0.9 131.9 46% 52–55 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Arizona +16.4 162.5 89% 47–84 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Marshall -0.3 158.3 44% 90–74 ✓
Buffalo @ South Alabama +4.1 142.2 68% 69–81 ✓
Central Michigan @ Louisiana -0.3 130.8 37% 80–85 ✗
Toledo @ James Madison +0.4 145.7 54% 71–73 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason +9.1 136.1 82% 52–60 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Northridge +7.6 151.4 78% 74–88 ✓
DePaul @ Providence +5.6 155.6 68% 72–90 ✓
Florida State @ Notre Dame +4.6 153.6 70% 82–79 ✗
American University @ Navy +6.1 132.0 73% 73–82 ✓
Stonehill @ Long Island University +9.6 133.4 85% 54–61 ✓
Maine @ Bryant +1.5 126.3 59% 67–73 ✓
Binghamton @ NJIT +8.8 145.2 83% 64–73 ✓
Towson @ Hofstra +4.1 132.3 59% 49–71 ✓
Northeastern @ Stony Brook +3.8 147.4 73% 55–69 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wofford +8.1 151.3 82% 66–77 ✓
Alabama @ Auburn +3.5 173.5 59% 96–92 ✗
North Florida @ Queens University +10.9 165.9 87% 72–91 ✓
Morehead State @ UT Martin +9.9 134.5 82% 61–55 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Little Rock -1.2 129.4 50% 71–61 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +3.3 136.7 67% 60–54 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +8.5 139.3 77% 60–81 ✓
South Carolina State @ Howard +12.5 140.0 87% 57–85 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Norfolk State +6.2 142.1 74% 68–75 ✓
Grand Canyon @ UNLV -3.4 146.5 36% 78–80 ✗
Robert Morris @ Youngstown State +2.0 144.1 63% 72–66 ✗
Houston Christian @ SE Louisiana +3.1 131.3 66% 47–55 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +0.3 133.1 52% 83–76 ✗
Western Illinois @ Tennessee State +13.4 147.7 88% 56–83 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Morgan State -0.3 131.9 54% 71–79 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Southeast Missouri State +10.1 139.8 85% 65–90 ✓
Colgate @ Bucknell -3.1 143.4 38% 78–59 ✓
Milwaukee @ Northern Kentucky +5.4 152.5 73% 62–67 ✓
Harvard @ Dartmouth +0.1 140.1 49% 71–58 ✗
Cal Poly @ UC Davis +5.3 161.1 78% 58–67 ✓
Incarnate Word @ McNeese +15.9 139.4 88% 64–81 ✓
Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky +7.7 148.9 79% 88–100 ✓
North Alabama @ Austin Peay +10.6 144.0 86% 62–91 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb +5.8 153.4 76% 86–78 ✗
Alabama State @ Grambling +4.0 141.2 71% 47–57 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +9.1 151.8 85% 76–82 ✓
Delaware State @ Coppin State -3.2 132.9 34% 47–65 ✗
Gonzaga @ Oregon State -13.3 150.5 13% 81–61 ✓
Akron @ Troy -2.8 157.1 36% 69–79 ✗
Texas Southern @ Florida A&M +2.5 141.0 62% 62–57 ✗
Santa Clara @ Washington State -7.7 151.9 22% 96–92 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Southern +5.0 145.7 70% 68–81 ✓
Seton Hall @ Creighton +1.8 138.8 64% 68–69 ✓
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +8.8 155.0 80% 68–67 ✗
Mercer @ Samford -1.4 156.4 50% 49–69 ✗
Lamar @ Stephen F. Austin +8.8 135.7 78% 74–84 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ New Orleans -0.3 147.3 51% 95–76 ✓
Northwestern State @ East Texas A&M +1.5 142.1 59% 48–52 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Idaho State -0.4 148.3 52% 69–61 ✓
Idaho @ Montana +2.7 146.7 66% 68–73 ✓
Georgia @ LSU -0.7 165.3 47% 83–71 ✓
Jackson State @ Mississippi Valley State -5.2 139.2 26% 97–81 ✓
Duke @ North Carolina -2.4 144.5 37% 68–71 ✗
Alcorn State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +7.2 147.1 78% 77–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.