Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | STBK -175 NE +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +14 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -5.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (-30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -6.5 (+7.5) | 148.0 (-24.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -3.8 (+10.2) | 147.4 (-23.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -6.0 (+8.0) | 148.9 (-24.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -6.0 (+8.0) | 149.7 (-25.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | STBK 95 – 80 NE |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NE 71 – 60 STBK |
| Jan 12, 2025 | NE 70 – 66 STBK |
| Mar 9, 2024 | STBK 75 – 65 NE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | STBK 59 – 55 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-4 | 2-10 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#216) | -5.2 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#178) | -1.27 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#189) | -1.44 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#170) | 0.446 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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