Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | STBK +180 NE -215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -7.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -6.2 (+2.2) | 135.5 (+0.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | NE -5.4 (+1.4) | 136.4 (-0.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | NE -6.0 (+2.0) | 138.5 (-2.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -6.3 (+2.3) | 138.5 (-2.5) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | STBK 69 – 55 NE |
| Jan 23, 2026 | STBK 95 – 80 NE |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NE 71 – 60 STBK |
| Mar 9, 2024 | STBK 75 – 65 NE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | STBK 59 – 55 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#345) | -1.7 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#317) | 0.03 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.58 (#324) | -0.15 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#314) | 0.500 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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