Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | NE -185 STBK +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +15 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -4.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -4.0 (-19.0) | 146.7 (+28.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -4.6 (-19.6) | 145.9 (+29.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -3.6 (-18.6) | 145.3 (+29.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -3.7 (-18.7) | 146.7 (+28.3) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | STBK 69 – 55 NE |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NE 71 – 60 STBK |
| Jan 12, 2025 | NE 70 – 66 STBK |
| Mar 9, 2024 | STBK 75 – 65 NE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | STBK 59 – 55 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 9-9 |
| Home | 2-10 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#223) | -5.2 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#248) | -0.37 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#235) | -0.83 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#240) | 0.481 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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