Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | STBK -150 NE +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +4 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -4.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-32.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -4.7 (-0.7) | 144.0 (-30.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -3.5 (+0.5) | 140.9 (-26.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -4.3 (-0.3) | 141.7 (-27.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -4.2 (-0.2) | 144.7 (-30.7) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | STBK 69 – 55 NE |
| Jan 23, 2026 | STBK 95 – 80 NE |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NE 71 – 60 STBK |
| Jan 12, 2025 | NE 70 – 66 STBK |
| Mar 9, 2024 | STBK 75 – 65 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#211) | -3.8 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#178) | -0.68 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#157) | -0.69 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#188) | 0.470 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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