Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | STBK -115 NE -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -1.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -2.5 (+7.5) | 140.5 (-0.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -0.9 (+9.1) | 137.8 (+2.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -2.7 (+7.3) | 140.0 (+0.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -2.9 (+7.1) | 140.6 (-0.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | STBK 69 – 55 NE |
| Jan 23, 2026 | STBK 95 – 80 NE |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NE 71 – 60 STBK |
| Jan 12, 2025 | NE 70 – 66 STBK |
| Feb 3, 2024 | STBK 59 – 55 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#199) | -4.0 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#179) | -0.68 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#160) | -0.68 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#168) | 0.474 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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