Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SC +136 MIZ -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +19 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | MIZ -0.3 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -0.6 (-18.4) | 147.9 (-10.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -0.4 (-18.6) | 147.3 (-10.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -0.1 (-18.9) | 149.0 (-12.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -1.6 (-17.4) | 150.4 (-13.4) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2025 | MIZ 101 – 71 SC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SC 72 – 64 MIZ |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SC 71 – 69 MIZ |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MIZ 83 – 74 SC |
| Mar 2, 2022 | SC 73 – 69 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-8 | 15-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#98) | 9.1 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#129) | 1.96 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#97) | 2.61 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#205) | 0.558 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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