Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | SC -8.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -8.3 (-4.3) | 139.2 (+2.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -7.2 (-3.2) | 137.1 (+4.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -8.7 (-4.7) | 138.0 (+4.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -8.7 (-4.7) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MIZ 78 – 59 SC |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MIZ 101 – 71 SC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SC 72 – 64 MIZ |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SC 71 – 69 MIZ |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MIZ 83 – 74 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#91) | 0.4 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#61) | 0.39 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#80) | 0.59 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#59) | 0.500 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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