Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | SC -250 MIZ +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SC -9.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -9.0 (-1.0) | 136.8 (-0.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -7.1 (+0.9) | 138.9 (-2.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -7.6 (+0.4) | 136.2 (-0.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -8.9 (-0.9) | 136.3 (-0.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MIZ 78 – 59 SC |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MIZ 101 – 71 SC |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SC 71 – 69 MIZ |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MIZ 83 – 74 SC |
| Mar 2, 2022 | SC 73 – 69 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 0-18 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-11 |
| Away | 8-3 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L19 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#68) | 3.3 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#10) | 0.21 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#12) | 0.62 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#34) | 0.504 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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