Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ -1400 SC +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +9 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -19.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -12.1 (-3.1) | 150.1 (+6.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -15.5 (-6.5) | 148.7 (+8.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -16.7 (-7.7) | 150.0 (+7.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -15.9 (-6.9) | 149.6 (+7.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MIZ 78 – 59 SC |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MIZ 101 – 71 SC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SC 72 – 64 MIZ |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SC 71 – 69 MIZ |
| Mar 2, 2022 | SC 73 – 69 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#53) | -6.3 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#29) | -0.47 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#38) | -0.85 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#38) | 0.461 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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