Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ -154 SC +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SC -0.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -2.5 (+0.5) | 137.8 (+2.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -1.2 (-3.2) | 136.2 (+3.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -3.1 (+1.1) | 138.5 (+1.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -2.2 (+0.2) | 139.0 (+1.0) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MIZ 78 – 59 SC |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MIZ 101 – 71 SC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SC 72 – 64 MIZ |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MIZ 83 – 74 SC |
| Mar 2, 2022 | SC 73 – 69 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-11 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-10 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L19 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#122) | 7.6 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#121) | 2.94 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#111) | 3.45 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#145) | 0.613 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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