Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ -1200 SC +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +30 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -13.6 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -10.5 (+19.5) | 148.9 (+23.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -12.5 (+17.5) | 149.7 (+22.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -12.3 (+17.7) | 149.6 (+22.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -13.7 (+16.3) | 149.0 (+23.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MIZ 78 – 59 SC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SC 72 – 64 MIZ |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SC 71 – 69 MIZ |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MIZ 83 – 74 SC |
| Mar 2, 2022 | SC 73 – 69 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 18-2 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.6 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 17.7 (#17) | 7.3 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#7) | 1.03 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.21 (#8) | 1.51 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#27) | 0.519 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 34.9% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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