Betting Lines
| Spread | IUIN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN -148 CLE +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | IUIN -1.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 181.0 (-25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IUIN -0.1 (+7.9) | 165.3 (-9.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IUIN -0.9 (+7.1) | 164.7 (-8.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IUIN -0.2 (+7.8) | 167.0 (-11.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IUIN -0.1 (+7.9) | 167.4 (-11.4) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | CLE 101 – 93 IUIN |
| Dec 30, 2025 | CLE 99 – 86 IUIN |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CLE 73 – 62 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CLE 67 – 61 IUIN |
| Mar 6, 2024 | CLE 85 – 66 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 6-14 |
| Home | 5-9 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.2 | 88.6 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#313) | -9.3 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#327) | -0.89 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#321) | -1.34 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#348) | 0.445 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.5% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.2% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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