Betting Lines
| Spread | IUIN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Over |
| Money | CLE +114 IUIN -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +8 | 194 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -2.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 180.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -1.9 (+6.1) | 163.8 (+30.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -2.8 (+5.2) | 164.3 (+29.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -2.3 (+5.7) | 164.8 (+29.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -1.7 (+6.3) | 165.6 (+28.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | IUIN 82 – 74 CLE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | CLE 99 – 86 IUIN |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CLE 73 – 62 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CLE 67 – 61 IUIN |
| Mar 6, 2024 | CLE 85 – 66 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-17 |
| Home | 7-8 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 88.6 | 89.2 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#322) | -10.2 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#297) | -2.08 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#301) | -2.47 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#317) | 0.392 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 34.9% |
Game Analysis
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