Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -600 IUIN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -9.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -8.5 (-2.5) | 141.2 (-13.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -9.0 (-3.0) | 139.5 (-11.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -9.0 (-3.0) | 142.4 (-14.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -9.3 (-3.3) | 143.6 (-15.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | CLE 101 – 93 IUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | IUIN 82 – 74 CLE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | CLE 99 – 86 IUIN |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CLE 73 – 62 IUIN |
| Mar 6, 2024 | CLE 85 – 66 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#232) | -9.4 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#171) | -2.78 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#148) | -3.49 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#196) | 0.361 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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