Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +210 CLE -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -2.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -4.5 (-6.5) | 137.8 (-2.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -4.3 (-6.7) | 140.0 (-5.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -3.9 (-7.1) | 141.8 (-6.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -4.0 (-7.0) | 137.7 (-2.7) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | CLE 101 – 93 IUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | IUIN 82 – 74 CLE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | CLE 99 – 86 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CLE 67 – 61 IUIN |
| Mar 6, 2024 | CLE 85 – 66 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#291) | -1.3 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#344) | 0.41 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.93 (#337) | 0.53 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#347) | 0.511 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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