Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -2500 IUIN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -19.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -15.6 (+3.4) | 144.0 (+7.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -15.1 (+3.9) | 142.7 (+8.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -15.6 (+3.4) | 145.9 (+5.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -16.2 (+2.8) | 146.2 (+4.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | CLE 101 – 93 IUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | IUIN 82 – 74 CLE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | CLE 99 – 86 IUIN |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CLE 73 – 62 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CLE 67 – 61 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 6-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#203) | -18.6 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#185) | -3.41 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#200) | -4.12 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#158) | 0.369 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 24.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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