Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 172.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -120 IUIN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +13 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -0.8 (+12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 186.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -2.8 (+10.2) | 160.2 (+24.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -1.0 (+12.0) | 160.2 (+24.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -0.0 (+13.0) | 163.7 (+21.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -0.3 (+12.7) | 161.9 (+23.1) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | CLE 101 – 93 IUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | IUIN 82 – 74 CLE |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CLE 73 – 62 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CLE 67 – 61 IUIN |
| Mar 6, 2024 | CLE 85 – 66 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-17 |
| Home | 7-8 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 88.6 | 89.2 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#344) | -11.0 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.96 (#346) | -2.05 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.90 (#344) | -2.76 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#346) | 0.382 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 60.8% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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