Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -675 PV +490 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -9.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -8.8 (-2.8) | 154.1 (+3.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -9.1 (-3.1) | 151.8 (+6.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -10.2 (-4.2) | 149.7 (+8.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -9.1 (-3.1) | 149.5 (+8.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | PV 71 – 67 BCU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BCU 85 – 82 PV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | BCU 84 – 78 PV |
| Feb 4, 2023 | BCU 60 – 58 PV |
| Feb 5, 2022 | BCU 68 – 67 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#262) | -12.4 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#193) | -1.94 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#200) | -2.51 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#169) | 0.400 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.