Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | PV -0.1 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -0.3 (+1.3) | 140.7 (-5.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -0.0 (+1.0) | 139.0 (-4.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -1.0 (+2.0) | 139.0 (-4.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PV -0.5 (+1.5) | 140.2 (-5.2) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | PV 71 – 67 BCU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | BCU 82 – 76 PV |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BCU 85 – 82 PV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | BCU 84 – 78 PV |
| Feb 4, 2023 | BCU 60 – 58 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-6 | 5-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#334) | -8.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#338) | -1.99 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#339) | -2.42 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.370 (#348) | 0.428 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 33.7% |
Game Analysis
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