Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | BCU -218 PV +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +4 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -4.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -4.8 (-8.8) | 151.4 (-13.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -3.5 (-7.5) | 146.6 (-8.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -3.6 (-7.6) | 147.2 (-9.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -3.0 (-7.0) | 152.2 (-14.2) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BCU 82 – 76 PV |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BCU 85 – 82 PV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | BCU 84 – 78 PV |
| Feb 4, 2023 | BCU 60 – 58 PV |
| Feb 5, 2022 | BCU 68 – 67 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#275) | -11.2 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#223) | -1.60 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#227) | -1.97 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#145) | 0.444 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
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