Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -175 PV +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +6 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -3.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -1.7 (+4.3) | 149.9 (+12.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -1.7 (+4.3) | 149.0 (+13.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -1.6 (+4.4) | 145.7 (+16.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -1.7 (+4.3) | 146.4 (+15.6) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | PV 71 – 67 BCU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | BCU 82 – 76 PV |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BCU 85 – 82 PV |
| Feb 4, 2023 | BCU 60 – 58 PV |
| Feb 5, 2022 | BCU 68 – 67 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-2 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#321) | -10.2 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#306) | -0.94 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#304) | -1.34 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#324) | 0.441 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.5% | 34.8% |
Game Analysis
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