Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | PV +155 BCU -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +3 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -4.1 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -3.5 (+0.5) | 149.8 (+17.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -2.8 (-0.2) | 148.5 (+18.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -4.2 (+1.2) | 145.8 (+21.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -4.0 (+1.0) | 147.3 (+19.7) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | PV 71 – 67 BCU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | BCU 82 – 76 PV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | BCU 84 – 78 PV |
| Feb 4, 2023 | BCU 60 – 58 PV |
| Feb 5, 2022 | BCU 68 – 67 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PV | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 3-7 | 8-2 |
| Away | 2-19 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#348) | -6.1 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.18 (#359) | -0.85 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.90 (#358) | -1.09 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#348) | 0.458 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PV | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 28.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 59.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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