Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | ELON -205 DREX +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +5 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | ELON -5.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -4.2 (-9.2) | 138.9 (+20.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -4.0 (-9.0) | 137.8 (+21.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -3.9 (-8.9) | 136.3 (+22.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -3.9 (-8.9) | 137.2 (+21.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2025 | DREX 91 – 74 ELON |
| Jan 17, 2025 | ELON 65 – 54 DREX |
| Jan 14, 2024 | DREX 89 – 69 ELON |
| Jan 28, 2023 | ELON 72 – 58 DREX |
| Dec 29, 2022 | DREX 62 – 50 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#191) | -3.7 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#195) | -0.68 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#203) | -0.79 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#176) | 0.466 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.