Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | ELON +333 DREX -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +20 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -7.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -7.5 (-12.5) | 141.8 (+16.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -8.7 (-11.3) | 140.4 (+17.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -6.9 (-13.1) | 140.5 (+17.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -6.8 (-13.2) | 140.8 (+17.2) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DREX 82 – 77 ELON |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DREX 91 – 74 ELON |
| Jan 17, 2025 | ELON 65 – 54 DREX |
| Jan 28, 2023 | ELON 72 – 58 DREX |
| Dec 29, 2022 | DREX 62 – 50 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#291) | 4.0 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#254) | 0.54 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#272) | 0.48 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#248) | 0.523 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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