Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | ELON +250 DREX -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -7.2 (+21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -7.1 (+21.1) | 133.1 (-3.1) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -6.5 (+20.5) | 131.7 (-1.7) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -7.1 (+21.1) | 133.4 (-3.4) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -7.2 (+21.2) | 133.3 (-3.3) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DREX 82 – 77 ELON |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DREX 91 – 74 ELON |
| Jan 17, 2025 | ELON 65 – 54 DREX |
| Jan 14, 2024 | DREX 89 – 69 ELON |
| Dec 29, 2022 | DREX 62 – 50 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#341) | -0.5 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.46 (#363) | -0.41 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.52 (#363) | -0.34 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.365 (#352) | 0.452 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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