Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Drexel Dragons
54 – 65
FINAL Conference
Elon Phoenix
Coastal Athletic Association · Daskalakis Athletic Center · January 17, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread DREX -1.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money DREX -125 / ELON +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total DREX win
Actual ELON +11 119 Lost
Massey DREX -0.5 (-11.5) — —
Massey Totals — 129.9 (-10.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 52% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 47% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ELON -0.0 (-11.0) 132.7 (-13.7) 42% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DREX -0.8 (-11.8) 134.3 (-15.3) 56% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML ELON -0.6 (-10.4) 132.1 (-13.1) 47% ✓
Baseline ML ELON -0.4 (-10.6) 134.3 (-15.3) 44% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 DREX 82 – 77 ELON
Mar 8, 2025 DREX 91 – 74 ELON
Jan 14, 2024 DREX 89 – 69 ELON
Jan 28, 2023 ELON 72 – 58 DREX
Dec 29, 2022 DREX 62 – 50 ELON

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DREX ELON
Overall 18-15 17-16
Conference 9-9 8-10
Home 8-6 10-4
Away 7-7 6-9
Neutral 3-2 1-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 69.6 71.5
Avg Pts Against 67.6 70.9
Massey -1.4 (#186) 1.8 (#132)
Bradley-Terry -0.35 (#202) 0.27 (#150)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.51 (#205) 0.38 (#140)
RPI 0.466 (#231) 0.513 (#148)
Shooting & Four Factors DREX ELON
FG% 45.7% 43.4%
3PT% 33.5% 32.0%
REB / G 37.4 41.4
OREB / G 11.0 13.1
AST / TO 1.07 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 50.2%
TOV% 18.7% 18.8%
ORB% 32.9% 38.9%
FT Rate 16.2% 29.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.6% 45.3%
Opp TOV% 14.0% 12.2%
DRB% 71.6% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 16.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.