This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Drexel Dragons
54 65
FINAL Conference
Elon Phoenix
Coastal Athletic Association · Daskalakis Athletic Center · January 17, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread DREX -1.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money DREX -125 / ELON +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total DREX win
Actual ELON +11 119 Lost
Massey DREX -0.5 (-11.5)
Massey Totals 129.9 (-10.9)
Bradley-Terry 52%
Weighted B-T 47%
Efficiency Plus ML DREX -0.8 (-11.8) 134.3 (-15.3) 56%
Baseline Tuned ML ELON -0.6 (-10.4) 132.1 (-13.1) 47%
Baseline ML ELON -0.4 (-10.6) 134.3 (-15.3) 44%
Baseline Plus ML ELON -0.0 (-11.0) 132.7 (-13.7) 42%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 DREX 8277 ELON
Mar 8, 2025 DREX 9174 ELON
Jan 14, 2024 DREX 8969 ELON
Jan 28, 2023 ELON 7258 DREX
Dec 29, 2022 DREX 6250 ELON

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DREX ELON
Overall 18-15 17-16
Conference 9-9 8-10
Home 8-6 10-4
Away 7-7 6-9
Neutral 3-2 1-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 69.6 71.5
Avg Pts Against 67.6 70.9
Massey -1.4 (#186) 1.8 (#132)
Bradley-Terry -0.35 (#202) 0.27 (#150)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.51 (#205) 0.38 (#140)
RPI 0.466 (#231) 0.513 (#148)
Shooting & Four Factors DREX ELON
FG% 45.7% 43.4%
3PT% 33.5% 32.0%
REB / G 37.4 41.4
OREB / G 11.0 13.1
AST / TO 1.07 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 50.2%
TOV% 18.7% 18.8%
ORB% 32.9% 38.9%
FT Rate 16.2% 29.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.6% 45.3%
Opp TOV% 14.0% 12.2%
DRB% 71.6% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 16.0%

Game Analysis

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