Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -700 ELON +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +12 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -15.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -11.6 (+0.4) | 136.7 (-24.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -11.5 (+0.5) | 135.1 (-23.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -11.8 (+0.2) | 136.3 (-24.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -11.9 (+0.1) | 134.7 (-22.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DREX 82 – 77 ELON |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DREX 91 – 74 ELON |
| Jan 17, 2025 | ELON 65 – 54 DREX |
| Jan 14, 2024 | DREX 89 – 69 ELON |
| Jan 28, 2023 | ELON 72 – 58 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#174) | -11.3 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#244) | -4.48 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#237) | -5.98 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#258) | 0.314 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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