The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Drexel Dragons
62 – 50
FINAL Conference
Elon Phoenix
Coastal Athletic Association · Daskalakis Athletic Center · December 29, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread DREX -11.5 Home covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money DREX -700 / ELON +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total DREX win
Actual DREX +12 112 Won
Massey DREX -15.7 (-3.7) — —
Massey Totals — 135.2 (-23.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DREX -11.9 (+0.1) 134.7 (-22.7) 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DREX -11.6 (+0.4) 136.7 (-24.7) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DREX -11.5 (+0.5) 135.1 (-23.1) 86% ✓
Baseline ML DREX -11.8 (+0.2) 136.3 (-24.3) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 DREX 82 – 77 ELON
Mar 8, 2025 DREX 91 – 74 ELON
Jan 17, 2025 ELON 65 – 54 DREX
Jan 14, 2024 DREX 89 – 69 ELON
Jan 28, 2023 ELON 72 – 58 DREX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DREX ELON
Overall 17-15 8-24
Conference 10-8 6-12
Home 12-3 5-9
Away 3-9 3-12
Neutral 2-3 0-3
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 66.1 63.8
Avg Pts Against 63.0 72.2
Massey -0.4 (#174) -11.3 (#340)
Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#244) -4.48 (#362)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.80 (#237) -5.98 (#362)
RPI 0.452 (#258) 0.314 (#363)
Shooting & Four Factors DREX ELON
FG% 41.3% 40.4%
3PT% 33.0% 27.0%
REB / G 34.5 31.2
OREB / G 10.5 8.1
AST / TO 1.06 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.1% 46.3%
TOV% 16.7% 17.4%
ORB% 29.4% 22.2%
FT Rate 15.3% 21.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.2% 54.9%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 17.8%
DRB% 71.1% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 15.7% 22.1%

Game Analysis

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