Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | DREX +105 ELON -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +17 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -0.9 (+17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (+36.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -0.3 (+17.3) | 132.3 (+32.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -0.5 (+16.5) | 134.0 (+31.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -0.4 (+17.4) | 130.8 (+34.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -0.4 (+17.4) | 130.9 (+34.1) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DREX 82 – 77 ELON |
| Jan 17, 2025 | ELON 65 – 54 DREX |
| Jan 14, 2024 | DREX 89 – 69 ELON |
| Jan 28, 2023 | ELON 72 – 58 DREX |
| Dec 29, 2022 | DREX 62 – 50 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#199) | -1.1 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#206) | -0.38 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#203) | -0.24 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#216) | 0.494 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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