Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | DART +110 HARV -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +13 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -0.1 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -0.4 (-12.6) | 141.2 (-12.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -0.1 (-13.1) | 140.1 (-11.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -0.3 (-13.3) | 140.0 (-11.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DART -0.2 (-13.2) | 142.1 (-13.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | DART 76 – 68 HARV |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HARV 66 – 58 DART |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DART 76 – 56 HARV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DART 76 – 69 HARV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | HARV 77 – 59 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#221) | -0.5 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#231) | -0.29 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#233) | -0.55 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#215) | 0.501 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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