Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | HARV -130 DART +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +8 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | DART -0.9 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -0.8 (+8.8) | 141.8 (-17.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -0.2 (+7.8) | 142.9 (-18.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -1.5 (+9.5) | 139.9 (-15.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DART -0.4 (+8.4) | 141.4 (-17.4) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HARV 71 – 58 DART |
| Jan 6, 2026 | DART 76 – 68 HARV |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DART 76 – 56 HARV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DART 76 – 69 HARV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | HARV 77 – 59 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Home | 7-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#256) | -1.5 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#234) | -0.41 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#246) | -0.54 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#213) | 0.490 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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