Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | HARV -340 DART +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -7.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -5.0 (-13.0) | 141.6 (+2.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -3.5 (-11.5) | 143.3 (+0.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -4.8 (-12.8) | 142.0 (+2.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -4.7 (-12.7) | 143.1 (+0.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HARV 71 – 58 DART |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HARV 66 – 58 DART |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DART 76 – 56 HARV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DART 76 – 69 HARV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | HARV 77 – 59 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#190) | -4.8 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#231) | -1.32 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#225) | -1.75 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#221) | 0.441 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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