Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | HARV -600 DART +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +18 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -12.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -9.9 (+8.1) | 132.4 (+3.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -9.8 (+8.2) | 134.7 (+1.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -9.6 (+8.4) | 133.3 (+2.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -9.6 (+8.4) | 131.9 (+4.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HARV 71 – 58 DART |
| Jan 6, 2026 | DART 76 – 68 HARV |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HARV 66 – 58 DART |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DART 76 – 56 HARV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DART 76 – 69 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 6-21 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 2-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#211) | -12.1 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#154) | -1.98 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#154) | -2.34 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#141) | 0.408 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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