Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | DART -140 HARV +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +20 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | DART -3.6 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -3.2 (+16.8) | 147.2 (-15.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -2.1 (+17.9) | 148.9 (-16.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -2.2 (+17.8) | 145.7 (-13.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DART -2.4 (+17.6) | 145.9 (-13.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HARV 71 – 58 DART |
| Jan 6, 2026 | DART 76 – 68 HARV |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HARV 66 – 58 DART |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DART 76 – 69 HARV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | HARV 77 – 59 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#257) | -6.4 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#238) | -0.97 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#254) | -1.14 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#214) | 0.472 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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