Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | DART +225 HARV -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -6.1 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -5.5 (+12.5) | 136.2 (+8.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -6.0 (+13.0) | 133.8 (+11.2) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -6.1 (+13.1) | 134.5 (+10.5) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -5.9 (+12.9) | 135.0 (+10.0) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HARV 71 – 58 DART |
| Jan 6, 2026 | DART 76 – 68 HARV |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HARV 66 – 58 DART |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DART 76 – 56 HARV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | HARV 77 – 59 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-21 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 0-14 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#333) | -2.7 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#338) | 0.13 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#335) | 0.19 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#336) | 0.501 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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