Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -162 BTLR +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +15 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -2.8 (+17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.9 (-36.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -2.3 (+17.3) | 160.4 (-35.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -0.7 (+15.7) | 158.2 (-33.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -1.3 (+16.3) | 155.0 (-30.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -1.4 (+16.4) | 156.1 (-31.1) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 76 MARQ |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MARQ 78 – 69 BTLR |
| Dec 19, 2024 | MARQ 80 – 70 BTLR |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MARQ 78 – 72 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BTLR 69 – 62 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 77.5 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#111) | 9.5 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#171) | 1.23 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#155) | 1.66 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#230) | 0.528 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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